Grant Dawson vs. Rafa Garcia Pick, 12/10/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 98 Odds

Grant Dawson vs. Rafa Garcia

UFC Vegas 98

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, October 12, 2024

Grant Dawson will enter the Octagon alongside Rafa Garcia at UFC Vegas 98 on Saturday, October 12, 2024. The opening money line sees Dawson at -440 and Garcia at +340.

Grant “KGD” Dawson will look to add a win to his 21-2-1 overall record. The 30-year-old weighs 155 pounds and measures 1.75 meters. The Switch Fighter has a wingspan of 72 inches. Rafa “Gifted” Garcia measures 1.70 m and weighs 75 kg. The orthodox fighter is looking to add a win to his 16-3-0 overall record. The 30-year-old has a reach of 70 inches. . When it comes to significant hits per minute, Grant Dawson averages 2.98 while Rafa Garcia averages 4.19 significant hits per minute. Dawson scores on 52% of the key shots he attempts, while Garcia scores on 42%. As for defense, “KGD” allows 2.11 significant strikes per minute and “Gifted” requires 4.21. Dawson also defends 45% of the significant shots aimed his way, and Garcia is able to thwart 61% of the shots thrown.

When it comes to takedowns, Grant Dawson is WRONG as he takes down his opponents 3.61 times every 15 minutes. Dawson scores a takedown on 38% of his attempts and stops 57% of his opponents' takedowns. Garcia brings his opponent to the mat on 44% of his takedowns and defends 79% of his opponent's takedowns. In terms of sub usage, Dawson is the more skilled of the two fighters, aiming for 1.3 submissions per 15 minutes, while Garcia aims for 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Grant Dawson fought against Joe Solecki and ultimately won the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Solecki landed 27 of the 35 total punches he threw in the competition. Dawson retired from that fight after landing 146 of 190 total punches. When it came to significant hits, Solecki landed 12 of 19, giving him a 63% rate. He ended up landing 10 of 17 significant blows to the head. On the other side of the octagon, Dawson ended up landing 65% of his significant punches, hitting 46 of 70 shots. Of all the significant punches he landed, 39 of 62 were targeted to the head. 50% of Solecki's significant hits and 15% of Dawson's significant hits came from distance.

In Rafa Garcia's last fight, he fought Clay Guida and won by unanimous decision in round 3. Guida landed 100% of his significant punches from distance and Garcia landed 97% of the significant punches he attempted from distance. Garcia connected on 49% of the significant shots he attempted, landing 141 of 287. He ended up landing 130 of 269 significant punches aimed at the head. Guida ultimately landed 63 of 252 significant goals in this competition. Of these significant shots, he hit the head on 49 of 227 balls. In terms of the total number of punches he fired in this fight, Guida hit on 63 of 252 and Garcia hit on 143 of 289 of all the punches he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight not to be missed is the fight between Daniel Rodriguez and Alex Morono. Rodriguez has a career mark of 17-5-0. The 37-year-old weighs 170 pounds and is 1.85 meters tall. The southpaw has a reach of 74 inches. Morono stands 5'11″ and weighs 170 pounds. The orthodox fighter has a record of 24-10-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old has a reach of 72″. In the grappling category, Daniel Rodriguez manages to knock down his opponents 0.55 times per 15 minutes, while Alex Morono knocks his opponents down 0.36 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to hitting, Rodriguez averages 7.42 strikes per minute and lands 49% of his shot attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Alex Morono, who is scoring on 41% of his attempted punches and averaging a strike rate of 4.96 per minute.

Another must-see fight this evening is the fight between Josh Fremd and Abdul Razak Alhassan. Razak Alhassan enters the cage holding a record of 12-6-0 (1 NC). The 39-year-old weighs 185 pounds and is 1.75 meters tall. The orthodox fighter has a height of 73 inches. Fremd is 6 feet tall and weighs 185 pounds. The orthodox fighter is looking to add a win to his overall record of 11-6-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 76 inches. In the takedown category, Abdul Razak Alhassan is able to defend against 51% of takedowns attempted by fighters and brings his opponent to the mat in 38% of attempts. Fremd completes his takedowns on 25% of his attempts and defends against 30% of all takedown attempts. When it comes to hitting, Razak Alhassan scores 3.97 strikes per minute while he scores 3.62 strikes per minute. Additionally, Fremd takes 2.23 punches per minute and lands 2.52 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Grant Dawson (-440)

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