How the Davante Adams trade impacts fantasy and betting

After a 2-4 start to the season and firing their head coach just a week ago, the New York Jets made a big move, trading wide receiver Davante Adams from the Las Vegas Raiders for a conditional third-round pick. By taking over from Adams, the receiver will meet a familiar face in Aaron Rodgers from their time together at the Green Bay Packers.

The Jets, who have been linked to Adams since the star requested a trade from the Raiders weeks ago, could be looking for the dynamic duo of Adams and Rodgers to spark an offense and a team that has struggled a lot through six games.

How will this trade impact fantasy teams? What should you do if you have Adams, Rodgers or any of the other Jets players? Does the addition of Adams impact betting? Eric Karabell and Doug Greenberg examine the implications of trading from both a fantasy and betting perspective.

Fantasy Reaction: Temperament Expectations for the Adams-Rodgers Duo

Eric Karabell: I guess acquiring Adams is good for the Jets, but it's hard to see how this trade will suddenly solve all of the team's problems. Fantasy managers should think similarly. Rodgers was a top-five fantasy QB in 2021 (and the eight seasons before that), but hasn't played well since. Adding Adams can't hurt, but it assumes that Allen Lazard or Mike Williams have held Rodgers back statistically. The Jets still have two very relevant young running backs. So don't expect them to give up on that part of the offense.

I moved Rodgers up several spots in my end-of-season rankings, but not into the top 15 at the deep QB position. He is averaging 14.3 PPR fantasy points per game, which ranks 23rd among QBs. He's not going to suddenly average 20 PPG. Adams should fulfill the expected commitments of a WR2 option, but I think teammate Garrett Wilson is more valuable. While the Jets' offense is certainly running well today, they're not the same versions of Rodgers and Adams that played in Green Bay, so it's best to keep expectations well in check.

Mike Clay: The Jets' passing game saw a major shake-up on Tuesday when the team acquired Adams from the Raiders. It's possible that Adams (hamstring) will be sidelined or limited in his Jets debut this week, but the bottom line is this: Adams has a long relationship with Rodgers and he's sure to command a significant target share in the 25-30% range . Of course, that means fewer targets for others, especially secondary options like Allen Lazard, Mike Williams and Tyler Conklin. None of these players assume there are consistent fantasy options. Wilson will likely see a slight decline, but especially after posting back-to-back top-five fantasy appearances, he will join Adams in the weekly WR1 mix. Aaron Rodgers' streaming value will be increased, although his lack of rushing will continue to limit his ceiling. Hall's target share could see a slight decline, but not enough to keep him out of the RB1 mix. This offense has a very big challenge here in Week 7 against Pittsburgh, but Hall, Wilson and – if he plays – Adams should be in the lineup.

Betting Reaction: Jets see slight odds moves after Adams trade

Doug Greenberg: As far as betting odds go, it was about 12 whirlwind hours for the Jets. Before Monday Night Football, New York was +105 to make the playoffs, +1800 to win the AFC and +3000 to win the Super Bowl on ESPN BET. After a narrow loss to the Buffalo Bills, these odds dropped to +155, +2000 and +4000, respectively. When the Jets traded for Adams, those odds improved again to +145 for the playoffs, +1800 for the conference and +3500 for the Super Bowl – meaning the odds to win the AFC were back at the same level were as they had begun before the MNF.

The Adams trade also had a brief but temporary impact on the upcoming Jets-Steelers game on Sunday night. NYJ opened as a 1.5 point underdog and even scored +2.5 before flipping to -1. Then, immediately after the Adams news, the Jets took a quick jump to -1.5 before sinking back down to -1. The overall competition score increased from 36.5 to 37.5. If the spread holds, it would be the first time since 2003 that New York is favored against Pittsburgh, breaking an underdog streak of 11 straight meetings, according to ESPN Research. As for the action, ESPN BET reports that the Jets have received 29% of the bets and 44% of the stakes to win the Super Bowl as of Tuesday morning. They are also the only team accepting bets on winning the AFC or AFC East on Tuesday morning.