NFL 2024 Week 7 Betting – Patriots-Jaguars Odds, Picks and Lines

Week 7 of the 2024 season starts early again on Sunday when the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5) take on the New England Patriots (1-5) at Wembley Stadium in London at 9:30 a.m. ET. The Jaguars suffered a 35-16 loss to the Chicago Bears in their first London game last week.

Meanwhile, the Patriots lost their fifth straight game, a 41-21 loss to the Houston Texans, in Drake Mayes' first career start at center for New England. While both teams struggled early in the season, one of them has a chance to win before heading back to the states. The odds for the game started at Jaguars -4.5, but have since increased to Jaguars -6 ahead of Sunday morning. The overall score remained the same at 41.5 points.

Betting analyst Tyler Fulghum explains his favorite bet for Sunday morning's game.

Odds are current as of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Jaguars -6
Money line: Jaguars (-250), Patriots (+210)
Over/Under: 41.5

Distribution in the first half: Jaguars -3.5 (-115), Patriots +3.5 (-105)
First half moneyline: Jaguars (-220), Patriots (+170)
Patriots total points: 17.5 (above even/below -130)
Jaguars total points: 23.5 (above -120/below -110)

The props

Passing by

Trevor Lawrence total passing yards: 224.5 (above -140/below +110)
Lawrence's total number of passing TDs: 1.5 (above even/below -130)
Drake Maye's total passing yards: 199.5 (above -130/below even)

Rush

Rhamondre Stevenson runs through the yards: 44.5 (above -110/below -120)
Maye's total rushing yards: 24.5 (above -130/below even)
Lawrence total rushing yards: 44.5 (Over -135/Under +105)

Reception

Brian Thomas Jr. Total Receiving Yards: 59.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Evan Engram total receiving yards: 59.5 (above -105/below -125)
DeMario Douglas total receiving yards: 49.5 (above -105/below -125)
Christian Kirk total receiving yards: 44.5 (above -115/below -115)
Gabe Davis receiving total yards: 39.5 (above -105/below -115)
Hunter Henry total receiving yards: 34.5 (above -105/below -125)
Ja'Lynn Polk total receiving yards: 29.5 (above -110/below -120)

Tyler Fulghum's choice

Patriots +6 (-115)

Drake Maye did enough against the Texans last week to show me that the Patriots offense can finally be taken seriously. And when the Jaguars' defense is on the other side, that's exciting. The Jags rank last (32nd) in the NFL in defensive EPA and pass yards allowed per game. Caleb Williams just went across the pond and threw four touchdowns in the Bears' blowout win over Jacksonville. I think the Patriots are a complete underdog to win this game outright, but I'm happy to take the points because I think Maye will have a lot of success against this lazy Jags defense.

Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

• The Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last four games and 0-4 ATS after one loss this season.

• The Jaguars are 0-3 ATS this season and have failed to be favorites four straight times. They are 8-11 ATS favorites under Doug Pederson (1-4 ATS with at least 4 points).

• The Jaguars are 1-3 overall and ATS when favored in London.

• The Unders have a 4-1 record in London games over the last two seasons (0-1 this season).

• The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.

• The Patriots are 9-17 ATS underdogs over the last three seasons.

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