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Kamala Harris gets good news after a week of dismal polls

Kamala Harris gets good news after a week of dismal polls

Vice President Kamala Harris received a positive swing state poll after a number of other polls and forecasts suggested Donald Trump is the current 2024 frontrunner.

A Washington Post-Schar School poll of 5,016 likely voters in the seven key battleground states has the vice president ahead of Trump in Georgia (51 percent to 47), Michigan (49 percent to 47), Pennsylvania (49 percent to 47) and Wisconsin (50 percent). up to 47).

Trump and Harris are tied at 48 percent in Nevada, with the Republican winning in North Carolina (50 percent to 47) and Arizona (49 percent to 46).

Even if Trump wins Nevada, Harris would be on track to win the November election with 286 Electoral College votes Washington Post-The Schar School survey turns out to be accurate.

The Washington Post-Schar's school survey was conducted between September 30th and October 15th. The margins of error in each state range from plus or minus 3.9 to 5 percentage points.

Newsweek emailed the Trump and Harris campaigns seeking comment.

Kamala Harris in Georgia
Vice President Kamala Harris waves as she boards Air Force Two, Oct. 20, 2024, in Atlanta, Georgia. A Washington Post/Schar School poll shows Harris leading in four key swing states.

Megan Varner/Getty Images

Trump has expanded Harris' average lead in the polls. Three national polls conducted last week showed the former president ahead of the Democratic nominee.

A Fox News national poll of 1,110 registered voters conducted Oct. 11-14 showed Trump with a 50 percent to 48 percent lead over Harris. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

A TIPP Insights poll of 1,254 likely voters showed Trump with a 2-point lead over Harris, 49 percent to 47 percent. The poll was conducted Oct. 17-19 and the results have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 points.

And an Atlas Intel poll of 4,180 likely voters showed Trump with a 2-point lead in a head-to-head matchup (50 percent to 48). The poll was conducted October 12-17 and has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

In recent days, poll watchers Decision Desk HQ/The Hill and 538 had, for the first time this election cycle, named Trump as the favorite to win the November race against Harris.

Decision Desk HQ/The Hill said Oct. 20 that Trump has a 52 percent chance of winning in November after gaining in the polls in Wisconsin and Michigan and expanding his existing leads in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.

And 538 named Trump the favorite to defeat Harris on Oct. 18, currently giving the Republican a 53 percent chance of victory.

Even though Trump is the slight favorite, the site's forecasting model says Trump and Harris are still essentially tied in Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Nevada with two weeks to go.

“Our general characterization of the race – that it was a toss-up – remains unchanged,” wrote 538’s G. Elliot Morris.

Nate Silver, who founded 538 and now uses a similar model for his Silver Bulletin blog, also said last week that Trump was the favorite over Harris.

The Washington Post-The Schar School poll results have a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points in Arizona, 4.5 in Georgia, 4.6 in Michigan, 4.8 in Nevada, 3.9 in North Carolina, 4.6 in Pennsylvania and 4 .6 in Wisconsin.

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