Air Force Falcons vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction, Oct 12, 2024 College football tips, best bets and odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs. New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, October 12, 2024

Location: University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: truTV

Odds/point distribution: Lobos (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 54

The New Mexico Lobos (1-4) will play the Air Force Falcons (1-4) on Saturday, October 12, 2024, at University Stadium. New Mexico enters the game as a 6.5-point favorite. The over/under is set at 54.

The Air Force Falcons enter this matchup with a record of 1-4 this year. The last time they took the field, the Falcons faced the Navy Midshipmen and lost in the finale, 34-7. At the end of the game, they had 57 plays totaling 273 yards. The Air Force Falcons ran the rock 48 times for a total of 158 yards, giving them an average of 3.3 yards per attempt. On the ground, the Falcons gained 329 yards on 49 attempts, an average of 6.7 yards per run given up. Air Force completed 9 passes on 15 attempts for 134 yards, a completion rate of 60.0%.

The Falcons currently have 1,245 total yards this year. When it comes to getting into the end zone, Air Force has compiled 1 touchdown through the air and 6 rushing touchdowns. They gave the ball to the opponent six times. Air Force earned 71 first downs as a team and committed 22 penalties for 205 yards. As a team, they average 173.0 yards on the ground, ranking 58th nationally. When it comes to scoring, the Air Force Falcons average 11.4 PPG.

The Falcons rank 70th nationally in team defense, allowing 23.8 points per game. Opposing teams are averaging 4.8 yards per rushing attempt and 179.2 rushing yards per game on the season. They have allowed 896 running yards in five games this season. In terms of passing distance, the Falcons allow 935 yards, which ranks them 29th nationally. They gave up 187.0 yards per game passing and had a completion rate of 62.1%. Overall, they allow 366.2 yards per outing, which ranks them 78th nationally. They have given up 3 touchdowns via the pass and 12 touchdowns on the ground.

Get all of our college football picks

The Lobos enter this game 1-4 this season. In their last game, the Lobos won the final 50-40 against the New Mexico State Aggies. The Lobos finished the game with 579 yards on 77 plays (7.5 yards per play). New Mexico ran the ball 6.8 yards per tote, for a total of 331 yards on 49 carries. New Mexico gave up 35 rush attempts for 285 yards (8.1 yards per carry). The Lobos' pass defense yielded a 44.8% completion rate and 189 yards on 13 for 29 passing.

The New Mexico Lobos are averaging 461.2 passing yards per game, good for 23rd in the nation. New Mexico's offense totaled 505 penalty yards on 59 infractions, which ranks first in college football in margin of error. They average 199.4 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 997 yards this year. They missed 6 picks, lost 2 fumbles and recorded 124 first downs. In terms of scoring, the Lobos currently rank 48th nationally with 32.0 points per contest. Season-to-date, the Lobos have currently totaled 1,309 yards through the air and averaged 261.8 yards per game, which ranks them 40th nationally.

New Mexico has given up 1,213 total rushing yards (242.6 yards per contest) and 15 rushing touchdowns this season. They scored 13 passing touchdowns and 260.6 yards/out, ranking 116th nationally. Their defense has totaled 6 fumble recoveries and 1 pick this season. The Lobos defense has played 333 games, ranking 55th in college football. The Lobos are allowing 43.8 PPG, which ranks them 132nd nationally. In total they allowed 219 points.

Who will win the Falcons/Lobos college football game against the spread tonight?

Josh's pick: Take the Falcons +6.5

Get $60 worth of FREE Premium Member Tips. No obligation. No seller. No credit card. Quick sign up with instant access. Click here