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Half of voters plan to cast their ballot early – with a stark partisan divide

Half of voters plan to cast their ballot early – with a stark partisan divide

Americans are more eager to vote earlier than before the pandemic, but a deep partisan divide remains on early voting, the latest NBC News national poll shows.

With less than a month to go before Election Day, 5% of registered voters said they had already cast their vote (3% by mail and 2% in person), according to the new poll, which surveys people between Oct. 4 and Oct. 8 became .

Another 47% said they plan to vote early (20% by mail and 27% in person).

Overall, 52% of voters said they plan to cast their ballots early in the year and 44% plan to vote in person on Election Day. That's roughly consistent with NBC News poll results at a similar point in the 2022 midterm elections, when 49% of voters said they preferred to vote early and 47% said they planned to vote on Election Day.

Meanwhile, 3% said they were unsure what method they would use to vote and 1% said they would not vote.

But the latest poll results represent a decline from the 2020 election, which took place amid the coronavirus pandemic, when in early October 59% of respondents said they planned to vote early and 37% planned to wait to vote until Election Day. (By the end of October, the share of people who said they would vote early had risen to 68%.)

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The new numbers are also significantly higher than the 41% who said they planned to vote early in early November 2016, according to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll at the time, although fewer states offered early voting at a comparable time.

The partisan divide between those who vote early and on Election Day remains wide after years of former President Donald Trump and his Republican allies attacking the legitimacy of early voting.

Vice President Kamala Harris has a 17-point lead among those who plan to vote or have already voted before Election Day (57% to 40%). People voter.

Among those planning to vote on Election Day, Trump leads by a 21-point margin, 58% to 37%.

The NBC News poll of 1,000 registered voters, 898 of whom were reached by cell phone, was conducted Oct. 4-8. The overall margin of error is plus/minus 3.1 percentage points.

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