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Here's who's leading the Trump-Harris 2024 presidential race in Nevada

Posted on by Kennedy
Here's who's leading the Trump-Harris 2024 presidential race in Nevada

Topline

Vice President Kamala Harris has a narrow lead over former President Donald Trump in the crucial swing state of Nevada, where a decline in support among Latino voters threatens to hurt her chances of winning the state in November.

Important facts

According to the Five Thirty Eight polling average, Harris has a 0.6-point lead in Nevada, while an Emerson poll released last week showed her leading by one point, 48% to 47%, after the two met in September It was 48%, and a Wall Street Journal poll shows Trump with an unusually large lead of five points.

Nevada — the smallest swing state with just six electoral votes — has voted for Democratic presidential candidates in every election since 2008, and President Joe Biden beat Trump there by 2.4 points in 2020.

Support for Harris among Latino voters will be crucial to her success in both Arizona and Nevada, where Hispanics and Latinos make up about 30% of the population and polls show she has lost support among key demographics.

Biden leads Trump 61% to 35% among Latino voters in Nevada in 2020, according to CNN polls, while Harris leads Trump 56% to 40% among Latino voters in Nevada in October, according to a USA Today/Suffolk University poll of Latino voters. ahead of Trump.

According to the poll, Harris has particular problems with Latino men. According to the poll, 53% of Latino male voters ages 18 to 34 in Nevada support Trump and 40% support Harris, while 53% of Latino men ages 35 to 49 in the state support Trump and 39% support Harris.

According to the USA Today/Suffolk poll, immigration and inflation top the list of concerns for Latino voters in Nevada. Thirty-seven percent cited inflation as their top concern and 17 percent cited immigration.

Big number

56%. That's the share of Latino voters who identified with the Democratic Party in 2016 compared to 49% who identified with the Democratic Party in 2024, according to a September NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC poll.

tangent

Nevada is one of four swing states, along with Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan, where Harris has an advantage over Trump, according to Five Thirty Eight averages. Trump leads by narrow margins in North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona. Harris has a razor-thin lead in national polls.

Important background

The Harris campaign is making a last-minute appeal to Hispanic men in Arizona, Pennsylvania and Nevada with a “Hombres con Harris” tour with members of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, including Rep. Ruben Gallego, D-Ariz., who is running against Trump -ally Kari Lake for Senate in Arizona. The tour will include stops at Latino-owned small businesses, sports bars, restaurants, union halls and other venues frequented by Latino men, her campaign said.

Further reading

Wisconsin 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Latest Polls Show Trump Has Slight Advantage (Forbes)

Swing-state polls for the 2024 election: Trump maintains lead in Arizona, while Harris narrowly leads in Pennsylvania (Update) (Forbes)

Trump vs. Harris polls 2024: Harris and Trump virtually tied in latest polls as race tightens (Forbes)

Pennsylvania 2024 Trump-Harris polls: Harris leads crucial swing state in latest poll (Forbes)

Michigan 2024 Trump-Harris polls: Harris leads in latest poll (Forbes)

Georgia 2024 Trump-Harris polls: Harris surprisingly leads by one point in new poll (Forbes)

North Carolina 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Trump Overtakes Harris' Lead (Forbes)

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