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How much snow will New York get this winter? Here's what NOAA predicts

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How much snow will New York get this winter? Here's what NOAA predicts

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What will this winter be like in New York? The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's annual U.S. winter forecast report from the Climate Prediction Center predicts strong La Niña conditions are expected across the country. The U.S. has a 74% chance of La Niña conditions, while the chance of it being a moderate event is 40%.

According to the National Weather Service, La Niña events are the periodic cooling of sea surface temperatures in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific. This period usually occurs every 3 to 5 years, but can also occur occasionally. Last year, the U.S. dealt with El Niño conditions, which are the opposite of La Niña, meaning the ocean in the central and eastern Pacific warms to above-average sea surface temperatures.

NOAA Fall Forecast for New York

  • The National Weather Service predicts a 40 to 50 percent chance of above-average temperatures across New York State this fall, October, November and into December.
  • Most of New York State has a 33% to 40% chance of experiencing above-average precipitation this fall.
  • The New York City metropolitan area and Long Island have “equal chances” of normal precipitation, meaning no specific trend is favored in one direction or the other. This suggests there is not much chance of wetter or drier conditions in these areas this fall.

NOAA winter forecast for New York

  • The National Weather Service predicts a 40 to 50 percent chance of above-average temperatures for most of New York State this winter, covering December, January and February.
  • Western and central New York and parts of the Adirondacks have a 40 to 50 percent chance of above-average precipitation during the same period.
  • The eastern portion of the state, including the Catskills, the Albany region and much of the Hudson Valley, is in the 33% to 40% range for potentially above-average precipitation.
  • The New York City metropolitan area and Long Island have “equal chances” of normal precipitation, meaning no specific trend is favored.

Will there be blizzards and blizzards in New York this winter?

The NOAA winter forecast does not indicate how much precipitation will fall in the form of rain, snow or ice, but rather that overall is more or less likely. Snow forecasts depend on the strength and direction of winter storms, which generally cannot be predicted more than a week in advance, according to weather service forecasters.

Farmer's Almanac forecast for winter 2024-2025 in New York

According to the Farmer's Almanac, this winter is expected to be rainy and snowy again. The August release predicted a season of “quick storms that will bring both rain and snow, with little downtime in between.”

While much of the country is expected to experience a wet and mild winter, the coldest temperatures are forecast in the Great Lakes region, not far from New York. The Empire State is located in the Northeast and New England region, where the Farmers' Almanac predicts above-average amounts of winter precipitation and near-above-average temperatures.

According to the report, snow will be most common in inland and mountainous areas, while sleet and rain will be more common near the coast, particularly near and along the Interstate 95 corridor.

Contribution: USA Today Network

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