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Is NOAA predicting another freeze? See maps

Is NOAA predicting another freeze? See maps

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It's starting to feel a lot like fall in Texas — at least for now — as a cold front sweeps across the Lone Star State, bringing with it the lowest temperatures since April.

The slow onset of cooler autumn temperatures could also indicate a similarly mild winter.

Strong La Niña conditions are expected across the country, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center's annual winter outlook report for the United States. The U.S. has a 74% chance of La Niña conditions, while the chance of it being a moderate event is 40%.

Will Texas freeze again in 2024? Here's what the Farmers' Almanac winter forecast predicts

Here's what that means for Texas.

NOAA winter forecast for Texas

La Niña typically brings drier and warmer weather conditions to the southeastern part of the United States during the winter, meaning above-average temperatures and below-average precipitation.

  • The National Weather Service is forecasting warmer than usual temperatures for most of Texas through February, except for the northeastern tip of the Panhandle, where average temperatures are expected.
  • The southern part of the state — south of Austin, depending on latitude — has a 50 to 60 percent chance of above-average temperatures.
  • In North and West Texas, the chance drops from 40% to 50%.
  • The South Plains, High Plains and cities along the Oklahoma border have a 30% to 40% chance of above average temperatures.
  • Most of the state also has a 50% to 60% chance of below average precipitation, with the exception of cities along the Texas-Oklahoma-Arkansas border.

Will Texas have snowstorms this winter?

The NOAA winter forecast does not indicate how much precipitation will fall in the form of rain, snow or ice, only that overall it is less likely. Snow forecasts depend on the strength and direction of winter storms, which generally cannot be predicted more than a week in advance, according to meteorologists at the National Weather Service.

However, it looks like there's a good chance Texans won't experience another historic snowstorm this winter.

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