NFL 2024 Week 6 Betting – Bears-Jaguars Odds, Picks and Lines

The Chicago Bears (3-2) travel to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in the midst of a three-game winning streak to face the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4) in the 2024 NFL London Games. Week 6 is already underway and the first game on Sunday features an ever-improving Caleb Williams taking on a Jaguars team that has struggled to start the season.

The line for this game started at Bears -2 but went down to -1 on Sunday. The London showdown begins at 9:30 a.m. ET, with the overall score at 44.5. ESPN's Football Power Index favors the Bears to cover the spread, giving Chicago a 60.3 percent chance of winning outright.

Betting analysts Tyler Fulghum and Eric Moody break down their favorite bets for Sunday morning's game.

Odds are current as of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Bears -1
Money line: Bears (-120), Jaguars (even)
Over/Under: 44.5

Distribution in the first half: Bears -0.5 (+105), Jaguars +0.5 (-130)
First half moneyline: Bears (-120), Jaguars (-105)
Bears total points: 22.5 (above -115/below -115)
Jaguars total points: 21.5 (above -115/below -115)

The props

Passing by

Caleb Williams total passing yards: 249.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Williams total passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Trevor Lawrence total passing yards: 224.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Lawrence's total number of passing TDs: 1.5 (Over +115/Under -145)

Rush

D'Andre Swift Total Rushing Yards: 49.5 (above -105/below -125)
Travis Etienne Jr. Total Rushing Yards: 44.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Tank Bigsby's total rushing yards: 39.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Roshon Johnson Total Rushing Yards: 24.5 (above -120/below -110)
Williams total rushing yards: 19.5 (above -120/below -110)

Reception

DJ Moore's total receiving yards: 69.5 (above even/below -130)
Brian Thomas Jr. Total Receiving Yards: 59.5 (above even/below -130)
Christian Kirk total receiving yards: 44.5 (above -125/below -105)
Keenan Allen total receiving yards: 44.5 (above -115/below -115)
Evan Engram total receiving yards: 39.5 (above -110/below -120)
Rome Odunze Total Receiving Yards: 39.5 (above -125/below -105)
Gabe Davis receiving total yards: 29.5 (above -120/below -110)
Cole Kmet total receiving yards: 29.5 (above -135/below +105)
Swift total receiving yards: 19.5 (above -135/below +105)
Etienne Jr. total receiving yards: 19.5 (Over +105/Under -135)

Tips for the game

DJ Moore receives more than 60 yards

Tyler Fulghum: The Jaguars are being torn apart by opposing WRs. The opposing team's leading receiver has accumulated at least 70 yards in every game Jacksonville has played this season. They have already allowed four WRs to go over 100 yards. The Bears' offense is starting to find its footing in Caleb Williams' fifth career pick. I think this is another place where we can trust Williams and his No. 1 WR to do a good job on Sunday.

Trevor Lawrence under 224.5 yards.

Eric Moody: Lawrence rushed for a season-high 371 yards last week against the Colts, but he faced almost no pressure (only 12 of his 49 dropbacks experienced heat). Now he faces the Bears, who rank second in pass rush winning percentage and have a secondary that allows just 174.0 passing yards per game. Lawrence averaged 182.2 yards in Weeks 1-4. It could be a tough game for the Jaguars quarterback as he faces the best defensive player he's ever faced.

Bears -1.0.

Eric Moody: The Jaguars travel to London for back-to-back games after picking up their first win against the Colts in Week 5. But this Jacksonville offense has struggled to find its rhythm all season. Now the Jags face a ferocious Bears defense that ranks seventh in total yards allowed and fifth in points allowed per game. On the other hand, Chicago's Caleb Williams is growing before our eyes. He has thrown for more than 300 yards in two of his last three games, showing improvement on both blitz throws and deep throws (more than 15 yards through the air). The Jaguars are 3-8 ATS against the spread in their last 11 games while the Bears are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games.

Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

• The Bears have played five straight games as favorites (3-0 ATS this season).

• This is the first time since 2021 that the Bears have been favored in a game outside of Chicago (-2.5 at the Lions in Week 12).

• The Bears are 2-10-1 ATS when the line is between +3 and -3 under Matt Eberflus.

• Five consecutive games in London have been under the total (4-0 since the start of last season).

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