Polls in Pennsylvania show Trump and Harris trailing in the swing state

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump will campaign in different parts of the key swing state of Pennsylvania on Monday.

Harris is scheduled to speak in Erie, in the northwestern part of the state, around 7 p.m., while Trump will address supporters in the southeastern suburbs of Philadelphia around 6 p.m

As the largest battleground state in the country with 19 electoral votes, both Democratic candidate Harris and Republican candidate Trump have made frequent visits to Pennsylvania.

Last weekend, Trump returned to Butler, the site of a previous assassination attempt, and earlier this week, former President Barack Obama led a rally in Philadelphia in support of Harris' campaign. Harris' campaign stop tonight marks her 10th trip to Pennsylvania, while Trump also recently visited Reading and Scranton.

In Pennsylvania, the state most likely to decide the election, Harris is currently polling 0.6 points ahead of Trump, according to FiveThirtyEight. Nate Silver's poll tracker shows her lead in the state is slightly larger at 1 point. The times In the overall poll, Harris is at 49 percent, ahead of Trump at 48 percent The hill has Harris at 48.6 percent and Trump at 48 percent.

A New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/A Siena College poll of 857 likely voters in the Keystone State found Harris leading former President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee, by three percentage points.

The poll, conducted between Oct. 7 and Oct. 10 and released Saturday, shows Harris with 50 percent of the vote, compared to 47 percent for Trump. However, Harris' lead is within the margin of error of plus/minus 3.8 percentage points. Additionally, the survey found that 3 percent of respondents did not know who they supported or refused to answer.

A Center for Working Class Politics/YouGov poll of 1,000 registered voters showed Harris leading Trump in the state 46.8 percent to 44.7 percent. The poll was conducted between September 24 and October 2, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.19 percentage points.

While Harris has a narrow lead in the state, some recent polls suggest a Trump victory in Pennsylvania is not out of the question.

A survey by Emerson College/The hill A poll of 1,000 likely voters in Pennsylvania showed Trump leading Harris by one percentage point, with 49 percent of respondents supporting Trump and 48 percent supporting Harris. The poll, conducted between October 5 and 8, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

According to the Associated Press, the city of Erie has a Democratic majority of about 94,000 residents. Erie is surrounded by suburbs and rural areas with significant Republican populations. Trump also visited Erie on September 29th.

Democratic Sen. John Fetterman of Pennsylvania said he was “thrilled” to have Harris campaigning in Erie. At an appearance on Monday morning CNN Newsroom With Jim Acosta, Fetterman noted that Trump won Erie County and the state over Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016, while Biden claimed the county and Pennsylvania over Trump in 2020.

“Erie will vote for Pennsylvania, and Pennsylvania will vote for the president,” Fetterman predicted. “People discuss how Pennsylvania is a small version of the United States and Erie is a smaller version of Pennsylvania. There are rural, suburban and urban cores.”

Fetterman also predicts the president will have another razor-thin lead in the Keystone State.

“It will be close, but the battle for the White House will be won in Pennsylvania,” he added.

The vice president needs 44 electoral votes from battleground states to secure victory, while Trump needs 51.

Harris' clearest path to victory next month would be to win the three battleground blue wall states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, barring any surprise results elsewhere. Trump's most efficient path to 270 votes in the Electoral College would be to win the swing states North Carolina, Georgia and Pennsylvania.

Silver's latest forecasts showed Harris just on track to achieve that, although he said in late September that he thought the vice president's campaign should be nervous about Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

Key issues such as Pennsylvania's energy industry and natural gas fracking are expected to be at the forefront as they vie for the votes of undecided voters. With mail-in voting already underway, approximately 7 million Keystone State voters are expected to participate in the presidential race.

Trump's town hall on Monday evening will be held at the Greater Philadelphia Expo Center and Fairgrounds in suburban Oaks in an effort to increase turnout among his supporters.

On Tuesday, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, Harris' running mate, will travel to western Pennsylvania for a series of campaign events, ending with a campaign rally and reception in Pittsburgh.

Newsweek sent an email to the Trump and Harris campaigns Monday morning seeking comment.