Possible probability of formation of Tropical Storm Nadine

The chances of a low pressure system in the Atlantic Ocean strengthening into a tropical depression this week are increasing.

There are no active named storm systems brewing as of Tuesday morning, but meteorologists warn that the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is far from over. The normal season runs through November 30 and conditions are still favorable for storm formation. The next named storm will be Nadine.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) monitored a system last week that had a chance of forming into Nadine, but strong winds near Bermuda ripped the storm apart before it could strengthen. Now the NHC is monitoring a low pressure system in the central Atlantic called AL94, which could become the next named storm.

As of Monday, there was a 60 percent chance of the system developing over the next seven days and a 10 percent chance of it developing over the next 48 hours. By Tuesday morning, the chances of getting an education in the next 48 hours rose to 30 percent.

“A low pressure system over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms,” the latest NHC update said. “This system is forecast to move generally westward and environmental conditions may become more favorable for gradual development by mid to late this week.”

“A tropical depression could form as the system begins to move west-northwestward and approaches or approaches the Leeward Islands later this week.”

senior hurricane forecaster Alex DaSilva said Newsweek that AccuWeather is “very confident that the system will develop into something” and that the meteorology team has created a path tracker for the storm, which they are calling a tropical rain storm. AccuWeather predicts the system will strengthen into Tropical Storm Nadine in the coming days.

“We expect that the environmental conditions will become a little more favorable as we get closer to the islands,” DaSilva said. “That's why you're seeing the National Hurricane Center's chances increase over the last 24 to 36 hours.”

DaSilva said it was doubtful whether the storm would have a direct impact on the United States

If a tropical storm were to form, it would likely move over Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, Haiti and then Jamaica, meaning the system would remain south of Florida, AccuWeather forecasts said.

The NHC is also monitoring another area of ​​concern in the western Caribbean. The chance of this system forming is lower: there is no chance in the next 48 hours, and there is a 30 percent chance in the next seven days.

“An extensive low pressure area may develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea during the middle to late part of this week,” said the latest update on this system. “Thereafter, gradual development is possible if the system remains afloat while moving slowly west-northwest toward northern Central America. Regardless of developments, locally heavy rainfall is expected in parts of Central America later this week.”