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The Northern Lights can be seen here on Thursday evening amid a severe geomagnetic storm

The Northern Lights can be seen here on Thursday evening amid a severe geomagnetic storm

Topline

The likelihood that a large portion of northern U.S. states will catch a glimpse of the northern lights on Thursday evening is low to high, according to a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecast that predicts a strong occurrence of the natural phenomenon amid potentially severe geomagnetic impacts .

Important facts

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is forecasting a KP index of eight for Thursday evening, meaning the aurora borealis is expected to be bright and active.

The agency expects the event to “produce the best aurora and the extensive aurora oval will be visible to a large number of people.”

There is also a warning for severe geomagnetic storms for Thursday, which may cause the northern lights observation line to move further south and may also disrupt radio reception and satellite navigation.

Line of sight is expected to extend to the southern edge of Nebraska. However, the further north people are from the line, the greater the chance of seeing the Northern Lights.

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Where will the Northern Lights be visible on Thursday evening?

Regions and states such as Northeast Washington, Northern Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, Minnesota and Wisconsin are expected to have a high chance of seeing the Northern Lights. The central and southern parts of these states are less likely to experience the phenomenon, while states like Wyoming, South Dakota and northern Iowa have about the same chance.

How do you see the Northern Lights?

The best Northern Lights viewing is usually between 10 p.m. and 2 a.m. in areas where there is little or no light pollution and the sky is clear. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration also recommends that aurora viewers view the auroras from a vantage point, such as a hilltop.

How do you photograph the lights?

Fast shutter speeds and night mode are crucial for those trying to photograph the Northern Lights with their smartphone.

Important background

If Thursday night's forecast proves accurate, viewers in the northern United States will have one of the best chances of seeing the Northern Lights in recent months, when KP indices of four or five were typically predicted. Fortunately, for those who miss the Northern Lights this time, solar activity is expected to increase as the peak of Solar Cycle 25 is expected to occur between late 2024 and early 2026. The cycle may lead to an increase in sunspots and geomagnetic storms, which could contribute to stronger aurora forecasts.

Further reading

In Photos: Northern Lights Seen Around the World and in 30 U.S. States (Forbes)

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