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Who will win the presidential election? What the Harris Trump polls show

Posted on by Kennedy
Who will win the presidential election? What the Harris Trump polls show

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Election Day is just 14 days away as presidential candidates complete their final rounds of campaigning before the grand finale.

The polls and ratings over the past two months have shown that the dynamics have changed and how close the presidential race has become, with much focus on the swing states that are likely to determine the winner.

The political climate of the last few months has made history and headlines across the country and is likely to impact undecided voters or cause others to potentially reconsider their vote:

Here's what the polls and odds say now – and how they've changed over the past two months – as we approach Election Day on Tuesday, November 5th.

Who is currently ahead in the polls and is favored by the odds?

  • ABC News Project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls at 48.2% to Trump's 46.4% – compared to Harris at 48.5% to Trump's 46.1% last week, compared to Harris 48% over Trump 47.3% two weeks ago, compared to Harris 48.5% over Trump 45.8% three weeks ago, compared to Harris 48.3% over Trump 45.6% four weeks ago weeks ago, compared to Harris 48.3% over Trump 45.3% five weeks ago, compared to Harris 47.1% over Trump 44.4% six weeks ago, compared to Harris 47.1% over Trump at 43, 9% seven weeks ago, or compared to Harris 47.0% over Trump at 43.7% eight weeks ago.
  • 270towin shows Harris leading Trump by 1.5% in national polls — compared to Harris, who was 2.5% ahead of Trump last week, compared to Harris 2.8% more than Trump two weeks ago, compared to Harris 3.7% more than Trump three weeks ago, compared to Harris more than 3% more than Trump four weeks ago, compared to Harris 2.5% more than Trump five weeks ago, compared to Harris 0.9% more than Trump Trump six weeks ago, compared to Harris 2.7% more than Trump seven weeks ago, or compared to Harris 1.9% more than Trump eight weeks ago.
  • realclearpolling shows the betting odds in favor of Harris over Trump with a spread of +0.8 — compared to Harris, who was favored by +1.7 last week, compared to a tie between Harris and Trump two weeks ago, compared to Harris at +1.8 three weeks ago, compared to Harris at +2.3 four weeks ago, compared to Harris at +2.0 five weeks ago weeks, compared to Harris +1.1 six weeks ago, compared to Harris +1.8 seven weeks ago and compared to Harris +1.7 eight weeks ago.
  • Polymarket, a The crypto trading platform expresses the odds of the betting public, in favor of Trump 64.1% versus Harris 36.0% — compared to last week's ratings: Trump 56.3% vs. Harris 43.1%compared to Trump 52.8% to Harris 46.7% two weeks ago, compared to Harris favored to Trump by 2% three weeks ago, compared to Harris to Trump favored to 3% four weeks ago, compared to Harris to Trump at 2% five weeks ago, compared to Harris over Trump by 1% six weeks ago, compared to Trump over Harris by 4% seven weeks ago, or compared to Harris over Trump by 1% eight weeks ago.

Polls and odds are constantly changing. These numbers were displayed as of Tuesday, October 22, 2024, 8:30 a.m

How accurate were the voting rates or polls in past presidential elections?

According to Conversation, a nonprofit news organization, the betting favorite has lost just twice since 1866.

Survey track record is more challenging because different pollsters surveying different audiences can often achieve higher error rates.

According to Pew Research, trust in public opinion polls has suffered due to errors in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections.

In these two general elections, many surveys underestimated the attractiveness of Republican Donald Trump.

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